Presidential candidates tend to perform ... especially with this many moving parts), hit us up with an email at polls@fivethirtyeight.com. Otherwise, I'll conclude with a brief explanation of ...
in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election ... voter likelihood and third parties and weight them based on their firm’s 538 pollster rating and how often it polls.
The latest average of national polls in the presidential race shows Democratic nominee Kamala Harris extending her lead over Republican challenger Donald Trump. FiveThirtyEight.com’s polling ...
Harris now has a slight edge in many national polls. The New York Times has Harris ahead, with 49% odds compared with Trump’s 47%, while Project FiveThirtyEight and ABC give the vice president a ...
Donald Trump says “no” to another debate with Kamala Harris before November’s presidential election in the United States. He ...