Amid tariff announcements and economic uncertainty, real GDP unexpectedly fell at an annualized rate of 0.3% in the year's ...

As President Donald Trump’s oft-changing tariff policies work their way through the economy, fears of a downturn pervade Main Street and Wall Street, with odds of the U.S. facing a recession ...

The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter, but it takes more than one bad quarter of GDP for a recession to officially begin.

Two quarters of negative GDP growth are commonly perceived as the start of a recession. This suggests that if we observe negative real GDP growth in 2025 Q2, then the recession started in the ...