Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th Electoral College vote. Use the table ...

A poll released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University, meanwhile, is closer to the Inquirer/Times/Siena findings, suggesting ...

LIKE BIRD-WATCHERS with binoculars, observers of America’s presidential race have had their eyes trained on the opinion polls ...

We’re less than 50 days out from the 2024 presidential election and for weeks, the polls have shown Vice President Kamala ...

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are working overtime to secure wins in the key battleground states. Here is a closer look at ...

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are working overtime to secure wins in the key battleground states. Here is a closer look at ...

Many polls show Vice President Kamala Harris holds a small lead nationally over former President Trump less than 50 days out ...

Three samplings in battleground North Carolina have been initiated since last week’s presidential debate, and Republican ...

Here at 538, we cover polls year-round, so we'd like to share with you some tips we've learned over the years on how to ...

Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others.

The FiveThirtyEight polling average showed him beating Donald Trump by 10.7 points, a victory that would have been the ...

In the aftermath of the recent presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, a fresh poll suggests that Trump ...